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<Research>Nomura Expects Fed to Delay Rate Cut until Dec, ECB to Cut Rates in Apr
The Fed will postpone rate cut until December as the US inflation shock became more front-loaded under the impact of tariffs (with 3-month annualized core PCE rising above 6% in 3Q...
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<Research>Nomura Expects Fed to Delay Rate Cut until Dec, ECB to Cut Rates in Apr
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The Fed will postpone rate cut until December as the US inflation shock became more front-loaded under the impact of tariffs (with 3-month annualized core PCE rising above 6% in 3Q), and economic growth slowed to near-recession benchmark, Nomura released a research report saying.

The risk of non-linear events pushing the economy into recession is clear and threatens the broker's base case forecast.

Negative growth shocks in Europe and Asia will outweigh inflationary shocks, allowing for larger monetary and fiscal stimulus. The broker now expected the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut interest rates in April. Asia will be hit particularly hard, leading to deflation in some countries.
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