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<Research>G Sachs Cuts HK Home Price Forecast to Flat This Yr, Likes SHK PPT/ CK ASSET
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Goldman Sachs released a research report expecting a price bottom to form this year after Hong Kong's residential property prices fell by nearly 30% in total from the 2021 peak.

Taking into account YTD price changes (-2%) and inventory overhang, the broker lowered its 2025/ 2026/ 2027 physical home price forecasts to nil/ +3%/ +4% YoY, compared to its prior forecasts of +5%/ +4%/ +4% YoY.

Related NewsHaitong Int'l Downgrades HENDERSON LAND (00012.HK) to Neutral, Cuts Underlying Profit Forecasts
Goldman Sachs continued to prefer stocks with diversified business exposure, and kept ratings at Buy on both SHK PPT (00016.HK)/ CK ASSET (01113.HK), with target prices of $86/ $45.7 each, offering recurring free cash flow yields of 8-9%.

The broker also kept ratings at Sell on NEW WORLD DEV (00017.HK)/ HENDERSON LAND (00012.HK), with target prices of $4.4/ $18.8 respectively, as their leverage and/or capital expenditure burden may weigh on DPS outlook, as compared to their lower recurring free cash flow yields of 6-7%.
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